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Estonia · Meistriliiga

08 May 2026 16:00 UTC

TAMMEKA vs FC KURESSAARE

Final 1:0 Almanac Moment

Tammeka won Last goal: Tammeka

Match timeline

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Pavel Marin — Tammeka

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

On point
Favorite
51%
1X2
Tammeka
90-minute result: Tammeka
Nice call
47%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: No
Lucky hit
32%
Total 1.5
Under

Chance of 1 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Lucky hit
37%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Solid call
67%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
81%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Nice call
8%
Score
1:0

Chance of this exact score

Result: 1:0

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 63% (Good)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 46 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 14% (Low)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 155 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 133 completed matches.

1X2 53% (Average)
Both teams to score 52% (Average)
Total 1.5 72% (Strong)
Total 2.5 54% (Average)
Total 3.5 60% (Good)
Total 4.5 71% (Strong)
Score 7% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 50 past matches

1X2 46% (Average)
Both teams to score 54% (Average)
Total 1.5 66% (Strong)
Total 2.5 56% (Good)
Total 3.5 66% (Strong)
Total 4.5 74% (Strong)
Score 8% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 53% (Average)
100 predictions
Both teams to score 43% (Weak)
49 predictions
Total 1.5 17% (Weak)
24 predictions
Total 2.5 36% (Weak)
59 predictions
Total 3.5 65% (Strong)
89 predictions
Total 4.5 81% (Strong)
113 predictions

Match overview