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Russia · Premier League

26 Jul 2026 14:00 UTC

LOKOMOTIV MOSCOW vs FK AKHMAT

Final 1:1

Draw Last goal: FK Akhmat

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Zelimkhan Bakaev — Lokomotiv Moscow

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Erald Maksuti — FK Akhmat

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Off target
41%
1X2
Lokomotiv Moscow
90-minute result: Draw
As expected
49%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: Yes
Solid call
72%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
Nice call
46%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Solid call
71%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
87%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
6%
Score
2:0

Chance of this exact score

Result: 1:1

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 71% (Strong)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+2; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 35 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 28% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 248 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 299 completed matches.

1X2 50% (Average)
Both teams to score 51% (Average)
Total 1.5 60% (Good)
Total 2.5 55% (Average)
Total 3.5 64% (Good)
Total 4.5 83% (Strong)
Score 9% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 71 past matches

1X2 37% (Weak)
Both teams to score 45% (Average)
Total 1.5 55% (Average)
Total 2.5 54% (Average)
Total 3.5 63% (Good)
Total 4.5 83% (Strong)
Score 6% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 50% (Average)
212 predictions
Both teams to score 47% (Average)
137 predictions
Total 1.5 73% (Strong)
218 predictions
Total 2.5 58% (Good)
172 predictions
Total 3.5 75% (Strong)
243 predictions
Total 4.5 88% (Strong)
277 predictions

Match overview