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Russia · Premier League

25 Jul 2026 17:45 UTC

SPARTAK MOSCOW vs RODINA

Final 3:0

Spartak Moscow won Last goal: Spartak Moscow

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Marquinhos — Spartak Moscow

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Christopher Martins — Spartak Moscow
  2. ⚽ Danil Prutsev — Spartak Moscow

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Off target
41%
1X2
Draw
90-minute result: Spartak Moscow
As expected
53%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: No
Solid call
72%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
Nice call
55%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Over
As expected
55%
Total 3.5
Over

Chance of 4 or more goals

Result: Under
On point
87%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
6%
Score
2:2

Chance of this exact score

Result: 3:0

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 33% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (0; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 85 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 28% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 244 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 295 completed matches.

1X2 33% (Weak)
Both teams to score 50% (Average)
Total 1.5 60% (Good)
Total 2.5 54% (Average)
Total 3.5 65% (Good)
Total 4.5 83% (Strong)
Score 9% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 36 past matches

1X2 56% (Good)
Both teams to score 56% (Good)
Total 1.5 75% (Strong)
Total 2.5 44% (Weak)
Total 3.5 58% (Good)
Total 4.5 72% (Strong)
Score 6% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 33% (Weak)
85 predictions
Both teams to score 53% (Average)
160 predictions
Total 1.5 73% (Strong)
216 predictions
Total 2.5 50% (Average)
125 predictions
Total 3.5 19% (Weak)
54 predictions
Total 4.5 88% (Strong)
273 predictions

Match overview