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Russia · Premier League

26 Jul 2026 16:30 UTC

FC ORENBURG vs FC ROSTOV

Final 2:1

FC Orenburg won Last goal: FC Orenburg

Match timeline

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Viktor Melekhin — FC Rostov
  2. 🟥 Maksim Savelyev (2nd yellow) — FC Orenburg
  3. ⚽ Ruslan Kul — FC Orenburg
  4. ⚽ Andrey Kasadzhikov — FC Orenburg

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Solid call
47%
1X2
FC Orenburg
90-minute result: FC Orenburg
As expected
49%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: Yes
Off target
66%
Total 1.5
Under

Chance of 1 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Off target
66%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Solid call
71%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
87%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
10%
Score
1:0

Chance of this exact score

Result: 2:1

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 53% (Average)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 73 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 28% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 248 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 294 completed matches.

1X2 51% (Average)
Both teams to score 50% (Average)
Total 1.5 60% (Good)
Total 2.5 54% (Average)
Total 3.5 65% (Good)
Total 4.5 83% (Strong)
Score 9% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 72 past matches

1X2 42% (Weak)
Both teams to score 51% (Average)
Total 1.5 49% (Average)
Total 2.5 65% (Strong)
Total 3.5 69% (Strong)
Total 4.5 89% (Strong)
Score 10% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 51% (Average)
209 predictions
Both teams to score 47% (Average)
134 predictions
Total 1.5 24% (Weak)
78 predictions
Total 2.5 58% (Good)
169 predictions
Total 3.5 75% (Strong)
240 predictions
Total 4.5 88% (Strong)
272 predictions

Match overview