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Russia · Premier League

25 Jul 2026 15:30 UTC

FAKEL vs DYNAMO MAKHACHKALA

Final 1:2

Dynamo Makhachkala won Last goal: Dynamo Makhachkala

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Vyacheslav Yakimov — Fakel
  2. ⚽ Yuri Zhuravlev (own goal) — Dynamo Makhachkala

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Aleksandr Sandrachuk — Dynamo Makhachkala

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Off target
41%
1X2
Draw
90-minute result: Dynamo Makhachkala
Nice call
53%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: Yes
Solid call
72%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
Solid call
61%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Over
Off target
61%
Total 3.5
Over

Chance of 4 or more goals

Result: Under
On point
87%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Off target
13%
Score
2:2

Chance of this exact score

Result: 1:2

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 33% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (0; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 85 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 28% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 244 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 295 completed matches.

1X2 33% (Weak)
Both teams to score 50% (Average)
Total 1.5 60% (Good)
Total 2.5 54% (Average)
Total 3.5 65% (Good)
Total 4.5 83% (Strong)
Score 9% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 45 past matches

1X2 44% (Weak)
Both teams to score 56% (Good)
Total 1.5 47% (Average)
Total 2.5 62% (Good)
Total 3.5 80% (Strong)
Total 4.5 96% (Strong)
Score 13% (Good)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 33% (Weak)
85 predictions
Both teams to score 53% (Average)
160 predictions
Total 1.5 73% (Strong)
216 predictions
Total 2.5 50% (Average)
125 predictions
Total 3.5 19% (Weak)
54 predictions
Total 4.5 88% (Strong)
273 predictions

Match overview