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Russia · Premier League

24 Jul 2026 17:00 UTC

CSKA MOSCOW vs BALTIKA

Final 2:1

CSKA Moscow won Last goal: Baltika

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Chinonso Offor — Baltika
  2. ⚽ Eduardo Anderson (own goal) — CSKA Moscow
  3. ⚽ Kirill Glebov — CSKA Moscow

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Big miss
54%
1X2
Baltika
90-minute result: CSKA Moscow
As expected
49%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: Yes
Off target
66%
Total 1.5
Under

Chance of 1 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Off target
66%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Solid call
71%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
87%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Off target
13%
Score
0:1

Chance of this exact score

Result: 2:1

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 33% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (-1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 57 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 28% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 243 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 294 completed matches.

1X2 51% (Average)
Both teams to score 50% (Average)
Total 1.5 60% (Good)
Total 2.5 54% (Average)
Total 3.5 65% (Good)
Total 4.5 83% (Strong)
Score 9% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 64 past matches

1X2 45% (Average)
Both teams to score 48% (Average)
Total 1.5 61% (Good)
Total 2.5 48% (Average)
Total 3.5 63% (Good)
Total 4.5 86% (Strong)
Score 13% (Good)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 51% (Average)
209 predictions
Both teams to score 47% (Average)
134 predictions
Total 1.5 24% (Weak)
78 predictions
Total 2.5 58% (Good)
169 predictions
Total 3.5 75% (Strong)
240 predictions
Total 4.5 88% (Strong)
272 predictions

Match overview