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Russia · Premier League

25 Jul 2026 13:15 UTC

AKRON TOGLIATTI vs ZENIT ST. PETERSBURG

Final 0:5

Zenit St. Petersburg won Last goal: Zenit St. Petersburg

Match timeline

1st half

  1. Aleksandr Sobolev — Zenit St. Petersburg
  2. Aleksandr Sobolev — Zenit St. Petersburg
  3. Gustavo Mantuan — Zenit St. Petersburg

2nd half

  1. Jhon Jhon — Zenit St. Petersburg
  2. Felipe Augusto — Zenit St. Petersburg

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Nice call
49%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: No
Off target
66%
Total 1.5
Under

Chance of 1 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Off target
66%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Off target
71%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Big miss
87%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Over
As expected
10%
Score
1:0

Chance of this exact score

Result: 0:5

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 55% (Average)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 71 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 28% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 244 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 295 completed matches.

1X2 51% (Average)
Both teams to score 50% (Average)
Total 1.5 60% (Good)
Total 2.5 54% (Average)
Total 3.5 65% (Good)
Total 4.5 83% (Strong)
Score 9% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 72 past matches

1X2 51% (Average)
Both teams to score 54% (Average)
Total 1.5 67% (Strong)
Total 2.5 50% (Average)
Total 3.5 58% (Good)
Total 4.5 78% (Strong)
Score 10% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 51% (Average)
210 predictions
Both teams to score 47% (Average)
135 predictions
Total 1.5 24% (Weak)
79 predictions
Total 2.5 58% (Good)
170 predictions
Total 3.5 75% (Strong)
241 predictions
Total 4.5 88% (Strong)
273 predictions

Match overview