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USA · USL League One

23 Jul 2026 01:00 UTC

SPOKANE VELOCITY FC vs CHARLOTTE INDEPENDENCE

Final 3:0

Spokane Velocity FC won Last goal: Spokane Velocity FC

Match timeline

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Luis Gil (penalty) — Spokane Velocity FC
  2. ⚽ Joe Gallardo — Spokane Velocity FC
  3. ⚽ Nil Vinyals — Spokane Velocity FC

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Off target
40%
1X2
Draw
90-minute result: Spokane Velocity FC
Lucky hit
44%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: No
No surprise
18%
Total 1.5
Under

Chance of 1 or fewer goals

Result: Over
No surprise
45%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Solid call
67%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
81%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
5%
Score
0:0

Chance of this exact score

Result: 3:0

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 25% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (0; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 103 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 24% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 278 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 313 completed matches.

1X2 25% (Weak)
Both teams to score 48% (Average)
Total 1.5 60% (Good)
Total 2.5 49% (Average)
Total 3.5 58% (Good)
Total 4.5 78% (Strong)
Score 5% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 81 past matches

1X2 38% (Weak)
Both teams to score 44% (Weak)
Total 1.5 51% (Average)
Total 2.5 48% (Average)
Total 3.5 56% (Good)
Total 4.5 69% (Strong)
Score 5% (Risky)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 25% (Weak)
104 predictions
Both teams to score 38% (Weak)
129 predictions
Total 1.5 22% (Weak)
79 predictions
Total 2.5 43% (Weak)
157 predictions
Total 3.5 67% (Strong)
233 predictions
Total 4.5 85% (Strong)
279 predictions

Match overview