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USA · USL League One

25 Jul 2026 23:00 UTC

CHARLOTTE INDEPENDENCE vs RICHMOND KICKERS

Final 3:1

Charlotte Independence won Last goal: Richmond Kickers

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Prince Saydee — Charlotte Independence
  2. ⚽ Fabrice Ngah — Charlotte Independence

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Souaibou Marou — Charlotte Independence
  2. ⚽ Sean Vinberg — Richmond Kickers

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Solid call
45%
1X2
Charlotte Independence
90-minute result: Charlotte Independence
As expected
47%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: Yes
Solid call
74%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
No surprise
45%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Off target
67%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Over
On point
81%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
5%
Score
2:0

Chance of this exact score

Result: 3:1

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 54% (Average)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+2; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 39 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 24% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 279 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 316 completed matches.

1X2 44% (Weak)
Both teams to score 48% (Average)
Total 1.5 60% (Good)
Total 2.5 48% (Average)
Total 3.5 58% (Good)
Total 4.5 78% (Strong)
Score 5% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 80 past matches

1X2 31% (Weak)
Both teams to score 49% (Average)
Total 1.5 59% (Good)
Total 2.5 43% (Weak)
Total 3.5 53% (Average)
Total 4.5 66% (Strong)
Score 5% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 44% (Weak)
211 predictions
Both teams to score 39% (Weak)
131 predictions
Total 1.5 73% (Strong)
235 predictions
Total 2.5 43% (Weak)
159 predictions
Total 3.5 67% (Strong)
235 predictions
Total 4.5 85% (Strong)
282 predictions

Match overview