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USA · USL League One

22 Jul 2026 23:00 UTC

WESTCHESTER SC vs COSMOS

Final 3:0

Westchester SC won Last goal: Westchester SC

Match timeline

1st half

  1. Bobby Pierre — Westchester SC

2nd half

  1. Kyle Evans — Westchester SC
  2. Conor McGlynn — Westchester SC

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Lucky hit
44%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: No
No surprise
18%
Total 1.5
Under

Chance of 1 or fewer goals

Result: Over
No surprise
45%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Solid call
67%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
81%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
6%
Score
1:0

Chance of this exact score

Result: 3:0

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 53% (Average)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 70 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 25% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 276 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 313 completed matches.

1X2 43% (Weak)
Both teams to score 48% (Average)
Total 1.5 60% (Good)
Total 2.5 49% (Average)
Total 3.5 58% (Good)
Total 4.5 78% (Strong)
Score 5% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 52 past matches

1X2 29% (Weak)
Both teams to score 50% (Average)
Total 1.5 67% (Strong)
Total 2.5 58% (Good)
Total 3.5 56% (Good)
Total 4.5 73% (Strong)
Score 6% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 43% (Weak)
209 predictions
Both teams to score 38% (Weak)
129 predictions
Total 1.5 22% (Weak)
79 predictions
Total 2.5 43% (Weak)
157 predictions
Total 3.5 67% (Strong)
233 predictions
Total 4.5 85% (Strong)
279 predictions

Match overview