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USA · USL League One

22 Jul 2026 23:00 UTC

PORTLAND HEARTS OF PINE vs UNION OMAHA

Final 1:2

Union Omaha won Last goal: Union Omaha

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Diego Gonzalez — Portland Hearts of Pine
  2. ⚽ Diego Gutiérrez — Union Omaha
  3. ⚽ Gabriel De Freitas — Union Omaha

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Nice call
39%
1X2
Union Omaha
90-minute result: Union Omaha
Nice call
54%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: Yes
Solid call
74%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
Nice call
51%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Over
No surprise
37%
Total 3.5
Over

Chance of 4 or more goals

Result: Under
On point
81%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
6%
Score
1:3

Chance of this exact score

Result: 1:2

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 41% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (-2; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 17 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 25% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 276 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 313 completed matches.

1X2 43% (Weak)
Both teams to score 48% (Average)
Total 1.5 60% (Good)
Total 2.5 49% (Average)
Total 3.5 58% (Good)
Total 4.5 78% (Strong)
Score 5% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 84 past matches

1X2 36% (Weak)
Both teams to score 46% (Average)
Total 1.5 62% (Good)
Total 2.5 48% (Average)
Total 3.5 61% (Good)
Total 4.5 74% (Strong)
Score 6% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 43% (Weak)
209 predictions
Both teams to score 55% (Average)
184 predictions
Total 1.5 73% (Strong)
234 predictions
Total 2.5 54% (Average)
156 predictions
Total 3.5 34% (Weak)
80 predictions
Total 4.5 85% (Strong)
279 predictions

Match overview