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USA · USL League One

25 Jul 2026 23:00 UTC

CHATTANOOGA RED WOLVES SC vs ONE KNOXVILLE SC

Final 1:0

Chattanooga Red Wolves SC won Last goal: Chattanooga Red Wolves SC

Match timeline

2nd half

  1. Joshua Ramos — Chattanooga Red Wolves SC

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

As expected
54%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: No
Off target
74%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Under
As expected
51%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Under
No surprise
37%
Total 3.5
Over

Chance of 4 or more goals

Result: Under
On point
86%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
5%
Score
3:1

Chance of this exact score

Result: 1:0

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 54% (Average)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+2; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 39 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 24% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 279 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 316 completed matches.

1X2 44% (Weak)
Both teams to score 48% (Average)
Total 1.5 60% (Good)
Total 2.5 48% (Average)
Total 3.5 58% (Good)
Total 4.5 78% (Strong)
Score 5% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 84 past matches

1X2 35% (Weak)
Both teams to score 48% (Average)
Total 1.5 58% (Good)
Total 2.5 48% (Average)
Total 3.5 60% (Good)
Total 4.5 86% (Strong)
Score 5% (Risky)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 44% (Weak)
211 predictions
Both teams to score 55% (Good)
185 predictions
Total 1.5 73% (Strong)
235 predictions
Total 2.5 54% (Average)
157 predictions
Total 3.5 33% (Weak)
81 predictions
Total 4.5 85% (Strong)
282 predictions

Match overview