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USA · USL League One

26 Jul 2026 01:00 UTC

SPOKANE VELOCITY FC vs FORT WAYNE

Final 3:1

Spokane Velocity FC won Last goal: Spokane Velocity FC

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Jack Thomas — Fort Wayne

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Shavon John-Brown — Spokane Velocity FC
  2. ⚽ Shavon John-Brown — Spokane Velocity FC
  3. ⚽ Luis Gil — Spokane Velocity FC

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Solid call
45%
1X2
Spokane Velocity FC
90-minute result: Spokane Velocity FC
Nice call
54%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: Yes
Solid call
74%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
Nice call
51%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Over
Off target
67%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Over
On point
86%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
5%
Score
2:1

Chance of this exact score

Result: 3:1

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 54% (Average)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 71 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 24% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 283 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 316 completed matches.

1X2 44% (Weak)
Both teams to score 48% (Average)
Total 1.5 60% (Good)
Total 2.5 48% (Average)
Total 3.5 58% (Good)
Total 4.5 78% (Strong)
Score 5% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 58 past matches

1X2 40% (Weak)
Both teams to score 36% (Weak)
Total 1.5 36% (Weak)
Total 2.5 45% (Weak)
Total 3.5 66% (Strong)
Total 4.5 84% (Strong)
Score 3% (Risky)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 44% (Weak)
211 predictions
Both teams to score 55% (Good)
185 predictions
Total 1.5 73% (Strong)
235 predictions
Total 2.5 54% (Average)
157 predictions
Total 3.5 67% (Strong)
235 predictions
Total 4.5 85% (Strong)
282 predictions

Match overview