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Iceland · Besta Deildin · Besta deildin

20 Jul 2026 19:15 UTC

KEFLAVIK vs IA AKRANES

Final 5:2

Keflavik won Last goal: Keflavik

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Thorlakur Baxter — Keflavik
  2. ⚽ Eidur Ragnarsson — Keflavik

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Stefan Ljubicic (penalty) — Keflavik
  2. ⚽ Eidur Ragnarsson — Keflavik
  3. ⚽ Viktor Jonsson (penalty) — IA Akranes
  4. ⚽ Muhamed Alghoul — Keflavik
  5. ⚽ Rafael Mani Thrastarson — IA Akranes

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

As expected
39%
1X2
IA Akranes
90-minute result: Keflavik
Solid call
61%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: Yes
On point
85%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
Nice call
56%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Over
No surprise
44%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Over
As expected
58%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Over
As expected
6%
Score
1:2

Chance of this exact score

Result: 5:2

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 36% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (-1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 53 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 23% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 183 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 237 completed matches.

1X2 46% (Average)
Both teams to score 58% (Good)
Total 1.5 79% (Strong)
Total 2.5 54% (Average)
Total 3.5 47% (Average)
Total 4.5 60% (Good)
Score 7% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 51 past matches

1X2 33% (Weak)
Both teams to score 55% (Average)
Total 1.5 75% (Strong)
Total 2.5 49% (Average)
Total 3.5 41% (Weak)
Total 4.5 67% (Strong)
Score 6% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 46% (Average)
202 predictions
Both teams to score 68% (Strong)
155 predictions
Total 1.5 88% (Strong)
202 predictions
Total 2.5 63% (Good)
160 predictions
Total 3.5 50% (Average)
146 predictions
Total 4.5 67% (Strong)
187 predictions

Match overview