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Ecuador · Serie A

19 Jul 2026 16:45 UTC

TECNICO UNIVERSITARIO vs AUCAS

Final 0:1

Aucas won Last goal: Aucas

Match timeline

2nd half

  1. 🟥 Agostino Spina (straight red) — Aucas
  2. ⚽ Ayrton Preciado — Aucas

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Off target
40%
1X2
Draw
90-minute result: Aucas
Nice call
54%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: No
Lucky hit
30%
Total 1.5
Under

Chance of 1 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Nice call
55%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Solid call
73%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
86%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
8%
Score
0:0

Chance of this exact score

Result: 0:1

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 29% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (0; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 127 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 27% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 342 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 397 completed matches.

1X2 29% (Weak)
Both teams to score 49% (Average)
Total 1.5 56% (Good)
Total 2.5 52% (Average)
Total 3.5 69% (Strong)
Total 4.5 86% (Strong)
Score 10% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 97 past matches

1X2 40% (Weak)
Both teams to score 52% (Average)
Total 1.5 54% (Average)
Total 2.5 54% (Average)
Total 3.5 68% (Strong)
Total 4.5 81% (Strong)
Score 8% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 29% (Weak)
128 predictions
Both teams to score 50% (Average)
223 predictions
Total 1.5 34% (Weak)
152 predictions
Total 2.5 58% (Good)
264 predictions
Total 3.5 77% (Strong)
339 predictions
Total 4.5 90% (Strong)
378 predictions

Match overview