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Ecuador · Serie A

19 Jul 2026 00:00 UTC

BARCELONA SC vs LIBERTAD

Final 1:0

Barcelona SC won Last goal: Barcelona SC

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Darío Benedetto — Barcelona SC

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Solid call
45%
1X2
Barcelona SC
90-minute result: Barcelona SC
Nice call
48%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: No
Off target
70%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Under
Nice call
55%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Solid call
73%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
86%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Off target
13%
Score
2:0

Chance of this exact score

Result: 1:0

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 47% (Average)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+2; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 49 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 27% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 342 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 392 completed matches.

1X2 43% (Weak)
Both teams to score 49% (Average)
Total 1.5 56% (Good)
Total 2.5 52% (Average)
Total 3.5 69% (Strong)
Total 4.5 86% (Strong)
Score 10% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 97 past matches

1X2 33% (Weak)
Both teams to score 52% (Average)
Total 1.5 64% (Good)
Total 2.5 52% (Average)
Total 3.5 72% (Strong)
Total 4.5 86% (Strong)
Score 13% (Good)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 43% (Weak)
265 predictions
Both teams to score 50% (Average)
220 predictions
Total 1.5 70% (Strong)
243 predictions
Total 2.5 57% (Good)
260 predictions
Total 3.5 77% (Strong)
335 predictions
Total 4.5 90% (Strong)
374 predictions

Match overview