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Ecuador · Serie A

18 Jul 2026 19:00 UTC

DEPORTIVO CUENCA vs UNIVERSIDAD CATOLICA

Final 0:2

Universidad Catolica won Last goal: Universidad Catolica

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Mauricio Alonso — Universidad Catolica

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Mauricio Alonso — Universidad Catolica

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Off target
45%
1X2
Deportivo Cuenca
90-minute result: Universidad Catolica
Nice call
54%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: No
No surprise
32%
Total 1.5
Under

Chance of 1 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Nice call
55%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Solid call
73%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
86%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Off target
12%
Score
1:0

Chance of this exact score

Result: 0:2

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 49% (Average)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 104 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 27% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 339 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 394 completed matches.

1X2 44% (Weak)
Both teams to score 48% (Average)
Total 1.5 56% (Good)
Total 2.5 52% (Average)
Total 3.5 69% (Strong)
Total 4.5 86% (Strong)
Score 10% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 91 past matches

1X2 34% (Weak)
Both teams to score 55% (Average)
Total 1.5 64% (Good)
Total 2.5 55% (Average)
Total 3.5 67% (Strong)
Total 4.5 84% (Strong)
Score 12% (Good)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 44% (Weak)
266 predictions
Both teams to score 50% (Average)
220 predictions
Total 1.5 34% (Weak)
149 predictions
Total 2.5 57% (Good)
261 predictions
Total 3.5 77% (Strong)
336 predictions
Total 4.5 90% (Strong)
375 predictions

Match overview