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Ecuador · Serie A

18 Jul 2026 00:00 UTC

DELFIN vs CSD MACARA

Final 2:1

Delfin won Last goal: Delfin

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Agustin Campana — CSD Macara

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Franco Ayunta — Delfin
  2. ⚽ Franco Ayunta (penalty) — Delfin

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Solid call
45%
1X2
Delfin
90-minute result: Delfin
As expected
48%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: Yes
No surprise
30%
Total 1.5
Under

Chance of 1 or fewer goals

Result: Over
As expected
55%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Solid call
73%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
86%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
5%
Score
1:0

Chance of this exact score

Result: 2:1

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 49% (Average)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 104 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 27% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 339 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 391 completed matches.

1X2 44% (Weak)
Both teams to score 49% (Average)
Total 1.5 56% (Good)
Total 2.5 52% (Average)
Total 3.5 69% (Strong)
Total 4.5 86% (Strong)
Score 10% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 96 past matches

1X2 41% (Weak)
Both teams to score 48% (Average)
Total 1.5 49% (Average)
Total 2.5 48% (Average)
Total 3.5 68% (Strong)
Total 4.5 90% (Strong)
Score 5% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 44% (Weak)
264 predictions
Both teams to score 50% (Average)
219 predictions
Total 1.5 34% (Weak)
148 predictions
Total 2.5 57% (Good)
259 predictions
Total 3.5 77% (Strong)
334 predictions
Total 4.5 90% (Strong)
373 predictions

Match overview