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International · FIFA World Cup · World Cup Final Stage

18 Jul 2026 21:00 UTC

FRANCE vs ENGLAND

Final 4:6

Top match England won Last goal: England

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Declan Rice — England
  2. ⚽ Ezri Konsa · assist Declan Rice — England
  3. ⚽ Bukayo Saka · assist Marcus Rashford — England
  4. ⚽ Bukayo Saka · assist Eberechi Eze — England

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Kylian Mbappé · assist Michael Olise — France
  2. ⚽ Bradley Barcola · assist Kylian Mbappé — France
  3. ⚽ Kylian Mbappé · assist Michael Olise — France
  4. ⚽ Bukayo Saka (penalty) — England
  5. ⚽ Ousmane Dembélé · assist Dayot Upamecano — France
  6. ⚽ Jude Bellingham — England

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Off target
44%
1X2
Draw
90-minute result: England
Lucky hit
38%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: Yes
On point
81%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
Nice call
58%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Over
Nice call
58%
Total 3.5
Over

Chance of 4 or more goals

Result: Over
Big miss
76%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Over
As expected
8%
Score
2:2

Chance of this exact score

Result: 4:6

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 47% (Average)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (0; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 15 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 27% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 96 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 97 completed matches.

1X2 47% (Average)
Both teams to score 60% (Good)
Total 1.5 70% (Strong)
Total 2.5 54% (Average)
Total 3.5 61% (Good)
Total 4.5 73% (Strong)
Score 13% (Good)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 13 past matches

Small sample sizes may be less reliable.

1X2 54% (Average)
Both teams to score 62% (Good)
Total 1.5 92% (Strong)
Total 2.5 46% (Average)
Total 3.5 54% (Average)
Total 4.5 69% (Strong)
Score 8% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 47% (Average)
15 predictions
Both teams to score 63% (Good)
57 predictions
Total 1.5 80% (Strong)
80 predictions
Total 2.5 57% (Good)
51 predictions
Total 3.5 38% (Weak)
24 predictions
Total 4.5 80% (Strong)
87 predictions

Match overview