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International · FIFA World Cup · World Cup Final Stage

09 Jul 2026 20:00 UTC

FRANCE vs MOROCCO

Final 2:0

Top match France won Last goal: France

Match timeline

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Kylian Mbappé · assist Désiré Doué — France
  2. ⚽ Ousmane Dembélé · assist Kylian Mbappé — France

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Off target
43%
1X2
Morocco
90-minute result: France
No surprise
38%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: No
On point
88%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
As expected
53%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Under
Solid call
64%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
76%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Big miss
30%
Score
1:2

Chance of this exact score

Result: 2:0

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 61% (Good)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (-1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 18 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 27% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 90 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 92 completed matches.

1X2 60% (Good)
Both teams to score 61% (Good)
Total 1.5 68% (Strong)
Total 2.5 54% (Average)
Total 3.5 62% (Good)
Total 4.5 73% (Strong)
Score 14% (Good)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 10 past matches

Small sample sizes may be less reliable.

1X2 70% (Strong)
Both teams to score 80% (Strong)
Total 1.5 90% (Strong)
Total 2.5 70% (Strong)
Total 3.5 70% (Strong)
Total 4.5 80% (Strong)
Score 30% (Strong)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 60% (Good)
77 predictions
Both teams to score 64% (Good)
53 predictions
Total 1.5 79% (Strong)
75 predictions
Total 2.5 60% (Good)
47 predictions
Total 3.5 68% (Strong)
71 predictions
Total 4.5 80% (Strong)
83 predictions

Match overview