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International · FIFA World Cup · World Cup Final Stage

11 Jul 2026 21:00 UTC

NORWAY vs ENGLAND

Final 1:2

Top match England advanced Last goal: England

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Andreas Schjelderup · assist Martin Ødegaard — Norway
  2. ⚽ Jude Bellingham · assist Anthony Gordon — England

Extra time

  1. ⚽ Jude Bellingham — England

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Off target
48%
1X2
England
90-minute result: Draw
Advanced: England
Lucky hit
38%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: Yes
On point
88%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
As expected
58%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Under
No surprise
44%
Total 3.5
Over

Chance of 4 or more goals

Result: Under
No surprise
44%
Total 4.5
Over

Chance of 5 or more goals

Result: Under
As expected
5%
Score
2:3

Chance of this exact score

Result: 1:1 (90 min)

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 58% (Good)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (-1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 19 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 26% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 92 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 94 completed matches.

1X2 59% (Good)
Both teams to score 60% (Good)
Total 1.5 69% (Strong)
Total 2.5 53% (Average)
Total 3.5 63% (Good)
Total 4.5 73% (Strong)
Score 14% (Good)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 8 past matches

Small sample sizes may be less reliable.

1X2 50% (Average)
Both teams to score 50% (Average)
Total 1.5 88% (Strong)
Total 2.5 38% (Weak)
Total 3.5 50% (Average)
Total 4.5 50% (Average)
Score 0% (Risky)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 59% (Good)
79 predictions
Both teams to score 63% (Good)
54 predictions
Total 1.5 79% (Strong)
77 predictions
Total 2.5 58% (Good)
48 predictions
Total 3.5 43% (Weak)
21 predictions
Total 4.5 11% (Weak)
9 predictions

Match overview