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Ecuador · Serie A

16 Jul 2026 21:30 UTC

AUCAS vs INDEPENDIENTE DEL VALLE

Final 0:3

Independiente del Valle won Last goal: Independiente del Valle

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Emerson Pata — Independiente del Valle
  2. ⚽ Djorkaeff Reasco — Independiente del Valle

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Hugo Quintana — Independiente del Valle

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Solid call
45%
1X2
Independiente del Valle
90-minute result: Independiente del Valle
As expected
48%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: No
Solid call
70%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
Lucky hit
45%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Over
No surprise
28%
Total 3.5
Over

Chance of 4 or more goals

Result: Under
No surprise
28%
Total 4.5
Over

Chance of 5 or more goals

Result: Under
As expected
8%
Score
1:13

Chance of this exact score

Result: 0:3

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Draw likelihood 27% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 336 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 391 completed matches.

1X2 44% (Weak)
Both teams to score 49% (Average)
Total 1.5 56% (Good)
Total 2.5 52% (Average)
Total 3.5 69% (Strong)
Total 4.5 86% (Strong)
Score 10% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 98 past matches

1X2 41% (Weak)
Both teams to score 46% (Average)
Total 1.5 58% (Good)
Total 2.5 52% (Average)
Total 3.5 65% (Strong)
Total 4.5 80% (Strong)
Score 8% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 44% (Weak)
264 predictions
Both teams to score 47% (Average)
172 predictions
Total 1.5 70% (Strong)
243 predictions
Total 2.5 42% (Weak)
132 predictions
Total 3.5 23% (Weak)
57 predictions
Total 4.5 6% (Weak)
18 predictions

Match overview