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Ecuador · Serie A

16 Jul 2026 00:30 UTC

BARCELONA SC vs GUAYAQUIL CITY

Final 1:1

Draw Last goal: Barcelona SC

Match timeline

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Edinson Mero — Guayaquil City
  2. ⚽ Darío Benedetto — Barcelona SC

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

As expected
39%
1X2
Barcelona SC
90-minute result: Draw
As expected
48%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: Yes
Off target
70%
Total 1.5
Under

Chance of 1 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Solid call
70%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Solid call
73%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
86%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
7%
Score
1:0

Chance of this exact score

Result: 1:1

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 50% (Average)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 103 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 27% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 336 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 388 completed matches.

1X2 44% (Weak)
Both teams to score 49% (Average)
Total 1.5 56% (Good)
Total 2.5 52% (Average)
Total 3.5 69% (Strong)
Total 4.5 86% (Strong)
Score 10% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 67 past matches

1X2 30% (Weak)
Both teams to score 49% (Average)
Total 1.5 69% (Strong)
Total 2.5 49% (Average)
Total 3.5 73% (Strong)
Total 4.5 87% (Strong)
Score 7% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 44% (Weak)
262 predictions
Both teams to score 50% (Average)
216 predictions
Total 1.5 70% (Strong)
243 predictions
Total 2.5 42% (Weak)
132 predictions
Total 3.5 77% (Strong)
331 predictions
Total 4.5 90% (Strong)
370 predictions

Match overview