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International · FIFA World Cup · World Cup Final Stage

07 Jul 2026 16:00 UTC

ARGENTINA vs EGYPT

Final 3:2

Top match Argentina won Last goal: Argentina

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Yasser Ibrahim · assist Marwan Attia — Egypt

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Mostafa Zico · assist Haissem Hassan — Egypt
  2. ⚽ Cristian Romero · assist Lionel Messi — Argentina
  3. ⚽ Lionel Messi · assist Gonzalo Montiel — Argentina
  4. ⚽ Enzo Fernández · assist Lautaro Martínez — Argentina

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Solid call
43%
1X2
Argentina
90-minute result: Argentina
Lucky hit
38%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: Yes
On point
88%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
Nice call
58%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Over
Off target
64%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Big miss
81%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Big miss
29%
Score
2:1

Chance of this exact score

Result: 3:2

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 64% (Good)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 22 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 26% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 87 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 89 completed matches.

1X2 59% (Good)
Both teams to score 61% (Good)
Total 1.5 69% (Strong)
Total 2.5 54% (Average)
Total 3.5 63% (Good)
Total 4.5 74% (Strong)
Score 15% (Good)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 7 past matches

Small sample sizes may be less reliable.

1X2 71% (Strong)
Both teams to score 71% (Strong)
Total 1.5 71% (Strong)
Total 2.5 71% (Strong)
Total 3.5 86% (Strong)
Total 4.5 86% (Strong)
Score 29% (Strong)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 59% (Good)
74 predictions
Both teams to score 64% (Good)
50 predictions
Total 1.5 79% (Strong)
72 predictions
Total 2.5 59% (Good)
44 predictions
Total 3.5 69% (Strong)
70 predictions
Total 4.5 81% (Strong)
80 predictions

Match overview