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South Korea · K3 League

11 Jul 2026 10:00 UTC

FC MOKPO vs GANGNEUNG CITY

Final 2:1

FC Mokpo won Last goal: FC Mokpo

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Tae-Eung Lee — FC Mokpo

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Tae-Seong Song — Gangneung City
  2. ⚽ Geon-Ung Lee — FC Mokpo

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Off target
45%
1X2
Gangneung City
90-minute result: FC Mokpo
As expected
54%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: Yes
Solid call
70%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
As expected
48%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Solid call
73%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
86%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
6%
Score
0:2

Chance of this exact score

Result: 2:1

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 50% (Average)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (-2; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 26 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 26% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 255 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 294 completed matches.

1X2 38% (Weak)
Both teams to score 52% (Average)
Total 1.5 60% (Good)
Total 2.5 49% (Average)
Total 3.5 65% (Good)
Total 4.5 84% (Strong)
Score 10% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 79 past matches

1X2 37% (Weak)
Both teams to score 51% (Average)
Total 1.5 56% (Good)
Total 2.5 39% (Weak)
Total 3.5 61% (Good)
Total 4.5 84% (Strong)
Score 6% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 38% (Weak)
221 predictions
Both teams to score 50% (Average)
145 predictions
Total 1.5 70% (Strong)
208 predictions
Total 2.5 51% (Average)
157 predictions
Total 3.5 77% (Strong)
228 predictions
Total 4.5 90% (Strong)
268 predictions

Match overview