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South Korea · K3 League

12 Jul 2026 09:00 UTC

CHANGWON CITY vs CHUNCHEON FC

Final 1:1

Draw Last goal: Changwon City

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Sang-Hwi Shin — Chuncheon FC

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Woo-Hong Kim — Changwon City

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

As expected
39%
1X2
Chuncheon FC
90-minute result: Draw
Nice call
54%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: Yes
Solid call
70%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
As expected
48%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Under
No surprise
28%
Total 3.5
Over

Chance of 4 or more goals

Result: Under
No surprise
28%
Total 4.5
Over

Chance of 5 or more goals

Result: Under
As expected
11%
Score
2:3

Chance of this exact score

Result: 1:1

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 37% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (-1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 60 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 26% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 259 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 294 completed matches.

1X2 38% (Weak)
Both teams to score 52% (Average)
Total 1.5 60% (Good)
Total 2.5 49% (Average)
Total 3.5 65% (Good)
Total 4.5 84% (Strong)
Score 10% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 75 past matches

1X2 31% (Weak)
Both teams to score 48% (Average)
Total 1.5 55% (Average)
Total 2.5 57% (Good)
Total 3.5 73% (Strong)
Total 4.5 83% (Strong)
Score 11% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 38% (Weak)
221 predictions
Both teams to score 54% (Average)
149 predictions
Total 1.5 70% (Strong)
208 predictions
Total 2.5 47% (Average)
137 predictions
Total 3.5 23% (Weak)
66 predictions
Total 4.5 15% (Weak)
26 predictions

Match overview