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South Korea · K3 League

10 Jul 2026 10:00 UTC

ULSAN CITIZEN vs YEOJU FC

Final 1:0

Ulsan Citizen won Last goal: Ulsan Citizen

Match timeline

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Yong-Min Kim — Ulsan Citizen

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Off target
40%
1X2
Draw
90-minute result: Ulsan Citizen
As expected
54%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: No
Off target
70%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Under
Nice call
51%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Solid call
73%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
86%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
9%
Score
1:1

Chance of this exact score

Result: 1:0

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 28% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (0; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 72 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 26% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 254 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 294 completed matches.

1X2 27% (Weak)
Both teams to score 52% (Average)
Total 1.5 60% (Good)
Total 2.5 49% (Average)
Total 3.5 65% (Good)
Total 4.5 84% (Strong)
Score 10% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 76 past matches

1X2 34% (Weak)
Both teams to score 51% (Average)
Total 1.5 59% (Good)
Total 2.5 46% (Average)
Total 3.5 64% (Good)
Total 4.5 79% (Strong)
Score 9% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 27% (Weak)
73 predictions
Both teams to score 54% (Average)
149 predictions
Total 1.5 70% (Strong)
208 predictions
Total 2.5 51% (Average)
157 predictions
Total 3.5 77% (Strong)
228 predictions
Total 4.5 90% (Strong)
268 predictions

Match overview