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South Korea · K3 League

28 Jun 2026 10:00 UTC

BUSAN TRANSPORT CORP vs DAEJEON KORAIL

Final 0:1

Daejeon Korail won Last goal: Daejeon Korail

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Ji-Min Yoo — Daejeon Korail

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Off target
40%
1X2
Busan Transport Corp
90-minute result: Daejeon Korail
As expected
54%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: No
Off target
70%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Under
As expected
51%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Under
Solid call
73%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
89%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
9%
Score
2:1

Chance of this exact score

Result: 0:1

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 36% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 73 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 27% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 251 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 287 completed matches.

1X2 28% (Weak)
Both teams to score 52% (Average)
Total 1.5 60% (Good)
Total 2.5 50% (Average)
Total 3.5 66% (Strong)
Total 4.5 85% (Strong)
Score 10% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 77 past matches

1X2 43% (Weak)
Both teams to score 57% (Good)
Total 1.5 62% (Good)
Total 2.5 49% (Average)
Total 3.5 69% (Strong)
Total 4.5 86% (Strong)
Score 9% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 28% (Weak)
71 predictions
Both teams to score 53% (Average)
144 predictions
Total 1.5 70% (Strong)
203 predictions
Total 2.5 52% (Average)
153 predictions
Total 3.5 79% (Strong)
222 predictions
Total 4.5 91% (Strong)
262 predictions

Match overview