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South Korea · K3 League

11 Jul 2026 09:00 UTC

DANGJIN CITIZEN vs POCHEON CITIZEN FC

Final 1:1 Almanac Moment

Draw Last goal: Pocheon Citizen FC

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Dong-Ryul Kim — Dangjin Citizen
  2. 🟥 Jae-Gun Lee (straight red) — Pocheon Citizen FC

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Sun-Woo Yoo (penalty) — Pocheon Citizen FC

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Nice call
37%
1X2
Draw
90-minute result: Draw
Nice call
54%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: Yes
Lucky hit
32%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
Solid call
68%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Solid call
71%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
86%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Nice call
5%
Score
1:1

Chance of this exact score

Result: 1:1

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 27% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (0; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 73 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 26% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 255 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 294 completed matches.

1X2 38% (Weak)
Both teams to score 52% (Average)
Total 1.5 60% (Good)
Total 2.5 49% (Average)
Total 3.5 65% (Good)
Total 4.5 84% (Strong)
Score 10% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 55 past matches

1X2 31% (Weak)
Both teams to score 53% (Average)
Total 1.5 65% (Strong)
Total 2.5 38% (Weak)
Total 3.5 45% (Average)
Total 4.5 82% (Strong)
Score 4% (Risky)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 38% (Weak)
221 predictions
Both teams to score 50% (Average)
145 predictions
Total 1.5 35% (Weak)
86 predictions
Total 2.5 51% (Average)
157 predictions
Total 3.5 77% (Strong)
228 predictions
Total 4.5 90% (Strong)
268 predictions

Match overview