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South Korea · K3 League

11 Jul 2026 08:00 UTC

SIHEUNG CITIZEN vs BUSAN TRANSPORT CORP

Final 0:2

Busan Transport Corp won Last goal: Busan Transport Corp

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Jan Rabens — Busan Transport Corp
  2. ⚽ Jan Rabens — Busan Transport Corp

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

As expected
39%
1X2
Siheung Citizen
90-minute result: Busan Transport Corp
As expected
54%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: No
Solid call
70%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
As expected
48%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Under
No surprise
28%
Total 3.5
Over

Chance of 4 or more goals

Result: Under
No surprise
28%
Total 4.5
Over

Chance of 5 or more goals

Result: Under
As expected
10%
Score
3:2

Chance of this exact score

Result: 0:2

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 35% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 74 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 26% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 255 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 294 completed matches.

1X2 38% (Weak)
Both teams to score 52% (Average)
Total 1.5 60% (Good)
Total 2.5 49% (Average)
Total 3.5 65% (Good)
Total 4.5 84% (Strong)
Score 10% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 79 past matches

1X2 38% (Weak)
Both teams to score 52% (Average)
Total 1.5 65% (Good)
Total 2.5 48% (Average)
Total 3.5 71% (Strong)
Total 4.5 86% (Strong)
Score 10% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 38% (Weak)
221 predictions
Both teams to score 54% (Average)
149 predictions
Total 1.5 70% (Strong)
208 predictions
Total 2.5 47% (Average)
137 predictions
Total 3.5 23% (Weak)
66 predictions
Total 4.5 15% (Weak)
26 predictions

Match overview