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Brazil · Serie B

10 Jul 2026 22:00 UTC

JUVENTUDE vs VILA NOVA

Final 1:0

Juventude won Last goal: Juventude

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Messias — Juventude

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

As expected
39%
1X2
Vila Nova
90-minute result: Juventude
Nice call
54%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: No
Lucky hit
30%
Total 1.5
Under

Chance of 1 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Nice call
56%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
76%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
89%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Off target
18%
Score
0:1

Chance of this exact score

Result: 1:0

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 36% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (-1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 76 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 29% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 416 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 496 completed matches.

1X2 43% (Weak)
Both teams to score 50% (Average)
Total 1.5 51% (Average)
Total 2.5 56% (Good)
Total 3.5 77% (Strong)
Total 4.5 93% (Strong)
Score 12% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 61 past matches

1X2 51% (Average)
Both teams to score 52% (Average)
Total 1.5 59% (Good)
Total 2.5 54% (Average)
Total 3.5 75% (Strong)
Total 4.5 98% (Strong)
Score 18% (Good)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 43% (Weak)
312 predictions
Both teams to score 51% (Average)
274 predictions
Total 1.5 32% (Weak)
195 predictions
Total 2.5 62% (Good)
370 predictions
Total 3.5 83% (Strong)
453 predictions
Total 4.5 95% (Strong)
485 predictions

Match overview