← Back to matches

Brazil · Serie B

10 Jul 2026 23:00 UTC

SPORT RECIFE vs BOTAFOGO SP

Final 3:3

Draw Last goal: Sport Recife

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Zé Hugo — Botafogo SP
  2. ⚽ Rafael Gava (penalty) — Botafogo SP

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Chrystian Barletta — Sport Recife
  2. ⚽ Benevenuto — Sport Recife
  3. ⚽ Patrick Brey — Botafogo SP
  4. ⚽ Chrystian Barletta (penalty) — Sport Recife
  5. 🟥 Clayson (straight red) — Sport Recife

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Nice call
39%
1X2
Draw
90-minute result: Draw
As expected
54%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: Yes
No surprise
30%
Total 1.5
Under

Chance of 1 or fewer goals

Result: Over
As expected
56%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Big miss
76%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Big miss
89%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Over
As expected
10%
Score
0:0

Chance of this exact score

Result: 3:3

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 31% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (0; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 181 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 29% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 416 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 495 completed matches.

1X2 43% (Weak)
Both teams to score 50% (Average)
Total 1.5 51% (Average)
Total 2.5 56% (Good)
Total 3.5 77% (Strong)
Total 4.5 93% (Strong)
Score 12% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 60 past matches

1X2 48% (Average)
Both teams to score 50% (Average)
Total 1.5 53% (Average)
Total 2.5 57% (Good)
Total 3.5 73% (Strong)
Total 4.5 92% (Strong)
Score 10% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 43% (Weak)
312 predictions
Both teams to score 52% (Average)
273 predictions
Total 1.5 32% (Weak)
194 predictions
Total 2.5 62% (Good)
369 predictions
Total 3.5 83% (Strong)
452 predictions
Total 4.5 95% (Strong)
484 predictions

Match overview