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Brazil · Serie B

12 Jul 2026 19:00 UTC

SAO BERNARDO vs CUIABA

Final 2:2

Draw Last goal: Sao Bernardo

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Lucas Santos — Sao Bernardo
  2. ⚽ Marlon — Cuiaba
  3. ⚽ Alex Alves (own goal) — Cuiaba
  4. ⚽ Rodrigo Ferreira — Sao Bernardo

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Nice call
37%
1X2
Draw
90-minute result: Draw
As expected
54%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: Yes
No surprise
30%
Total 1.5
Under

Chance of 1 or fewer goals

Result: Over
As expected
56%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Big miss
76%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Over
On point
89%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Off target
19%
Score
0:0

Chance of this exact score

Result: 2:2

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 32% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (0; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 182 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 29% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 418 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 498 completed matches.

1X2 32% (Weak)
Both teams to score 50% (Average)
Total 1.5 51% (Average)
Total 2.5 56% (Good)
Total 3.5 77% (Strong)
Total 4.5 92% (Strong)
Score 12% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 63 past matches

1X2 46% (Average)
Both teams to score 60% (Good)
Total 1.5 54% (Average)
Total 2.5 67% (Strong)
Total 3.5 75% (Strong)
Total 4.5 94% (Strong)
Score 19% (Good)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 32% (Weak)
185 predictions
Both teams to score 51% (Average)
276 predictions
Total 1.5 32% (Weak)
197 predictions
Total 2.5 62% (Good)
372 predictions
Total 3.5 83% (Strong)
455 predictions
Total 4.5 94% (Strong)
487 predictions

Match overview