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Brazil · Serie B

08 Jul 2026 23:00 UTC

PONTE PRETA vs CRICIUMA

Final 1:2

Criciuma won Last goal: Criciuma

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Marcelo Hermes — Criciuma

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Daniel Baianinho — Ponte Preta
  2. ⚽ Marcelo Hermes — Criciuma

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

As expected
37%
1X2
Draw
90-minute result: Criciuma
As expected
48%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: Yes
Off target
65%
Total 1.5
Under

Chance of 1 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Off target
65%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Over
On point
76%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
89%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
6%
Score
0:0

Chance of this exact score

Result: 1:2

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 32% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (0; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 180 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 29% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 415 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 492 completed matches.

1X2 32% (Weak)
Both teams to score 50% (Average)
Total 1.5 52% (Average)
Total 2.5 57% (Good)
Total 3.5 77% (Strong)
Total 4.5 92% (Strong)
Score 12% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 65 past matches

1X2 42% (Weak)
Both teams to score 43% (Weak)
Total 1.5 46% (Average)
Total 2.5 62% (Good)
Total 3.5 82% (Strong)
Total 4.5 89% (Strong)
Score 6% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 32% (Weak)
182 predictions
Both teams to score 48% (Average)
221 predictions
Total 1.5 64% (Good)
300 predictions
Total 2.5 62% (Good)
367 predictions
Total 3.5 83% (Strong)
449 predictions
Total 4.5 95% (Strong)
481 predictions

Match overview