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Brazil · Serie B

07 Jul 2026 23:00 UTC

ATHLETIC CLUB vs OPERARIO FERROVIARIO

Final 0:1

Operario Ferroviario won Last goal: Operario Ferroviario

Match timeline

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Gian Franco Cabezas Rodríguez (own goal) — Operario Ferroviario
  2. 🟥 José Cuenú (2nd yellow) — Operario Ferroviario

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

As expected
37%
1X2
Athletic Club
90-minute result: Operario Ferroviario
As expected
54%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: No
No surprise
30%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Under
No surprise
30%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Under
On point
76%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
89%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
9%
Score
2:1

Chance of this exact score

Result: 0:1

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 50% (Average)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 137 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 29% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 414 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 491 completed matches.

1X2 32% (Weak)
Both teams to score 50% (Average)
Total 1.5 52% (Average)
Total 2.5 57% (Good)
Total 3.5 77% (Strong)
Total 4.5 92% (Strong)
Score 12% (Good)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 96 past matches

1X2 40% (Weak)
Both teams to score 55% (Good)
Total 1.5 56% (Good)
Total 2.5 51% (Average)
Total 3.5 80% (Strong)
Total 4.5 92% (Strong)
Score 9% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 32% (Weak)
182 predictions
Both teams to score 52% (Average)
271 predictions
Total 1.5 32% (Weak)
192 predictions
Total 2.5 62% (Good)
367 predictions
Total 3.5 83% (Strong)
448 predictions
Total 4.5 95% (Strong)
480 predictions

Match overview