← Back to matches

Brazil · Serie B

12 Jul 2026 21:00 UTC

ATLETICO GO vs FORTALEZA

Final 1:0 Almanac Moment

Atletico GO won Last goal: Atletico GO

Match timeline

1st half

  1. 🟥 Gustavo Coutinho Lopes (straight red) — Atletico GO
  2. ⚽ Klebert — Atletico GO

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Solid call
45%
1X2
Atletico GO
90-minute result: Atletico GO
Nice call
54%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: No
Lucky hit
30%
Total 1.5
Under

Chance of 1 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Nice call
56%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
76%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
89%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Nice call
9%
Score
1:0

Chance of this exact score

Result: 1:0

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 49% (Average)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 138 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 29% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 418 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 498 completed matches.

1X2 42% (Weak)
Both teams to score 50% (Average)
Total 1.5 51% (Average)
Total 2.5 56% (Good)
Total 3.5 77% (Strong)
Total 4.5 92% (Strong)
Score 12% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 58 past matches

1X2 34% (Weak)
Both teams to score 48% (Average)
Total 1.5 45% (Weak)
Total 2.5 59% (Good)
Total 3.5 84% (Strong)
Total 4.5 93% (Strong)
Score 9% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 42% (Weak)
313 predictions
Both teams to score 51% (Average)
276 predictions
Total 1.5 32% (Weak)
197 predictions
Total 2.5 62% (Good)
372 predictions
Total 3.5 83% (Strong)
455 predictions
Total 4.5 94% (Strong)
487 predictions

Match overview