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Iceland · 1. Deild

04 Jul 2026 16:00 UTC

LEIKNIR REYKJAVIK vs VOELSUNGUR

Final 3:3

Draw Last goal: Voelsungur

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Gestur Aron Soerensson — Voelsungur
  2. ⚽ Anton Fannar Kjartansson — Leiknir Reykjavik

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Elfar Arni Adalsteinsson — Voelsungur
  2. ⚽ Gísli Alexander Ágústsson — Leiknir Reykjavik
  3. ⚽ Dagur Ingi Gunnarsson — Leiknir Reykjavik
  4. ⚽ Tryggvi Grani Johannsson — Voelsungur

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Off target
45%
1X2
Leiknir Reykjavik
90-minute result: Draw
Nice call
57%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: Yes
On point
85%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
Solid call
65%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Over
As expected
58%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Off target
75%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Over
As expected
8%
Score
2:1

Chance of this exact score

Result: 3:3

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 44% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 41 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 19% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 180 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 206 completed matches.

1X2 46% (Average)
Both teams to score 49% (Average)
Total 1.5 75% (Strong)
Total 2.5 56% (Good)
Total 3.5 52% (Average)
Total 4.5 63% (Good)
Score 9% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 63 past matches

1X2 43% (Weak)
Both teams to score 52% (Average)
Total 1.5 71% (Strong)
Total 2.5 51% (Average)
Total 3.5 51% (Average)
Total 4.5 63% (Good)
Score 8% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 46% (Average)
159 predictions
Both teams to score 61% (Good)
132 predictions
Total 1.5 87% (Strong)
172 predictions
Total 2.5 67% (Strong)
138 predictions
Total 3.5 57% (Good)
127 predictions
Total 4.5 73% (Strong)
167 predictions

Match overview