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Iceland · 1. Deild

10 Jul 2026 19:15 UTC

IR REYKJAVIK vs THROTTUR REYKJAVIK

Final 1:1

Draw Last goal: IR Reykjavik

Match timeline

1st half

  1. 🟥 Jon Arnar Sigurdsson (straight red) — IR Reykjavik

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Eirikur Thorsteinsson Bloendal — Throttur Reykjavik
  2. ⚽ Emil Sigurhjartarson (penalty) — IR Reykjavik

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Big miss
51%
1X2
Throttur Reykjavik
90-minute result: Draw
No surprise
35%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: Yes
No surprise
32%
Total 1.5
Under

Chance of 1 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Lucky hit
37%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Nice call
58%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Solid call
75%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Off target
15%
Score
0:1

Chance of this exact score

Result: 1:1

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 59% (Good)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (-1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 41 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 20% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 182 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 208 completed matches.

1X2 46% (Average)
Both teams to score 49% (Average)
Total 1.5 75% (Strong)
Total 2.5 56% (Good)
Total 3.5 52% (Average)
Total 4.5 63% (Good)
Score 9% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 67 past matches

1X2 37% (Weak)
Both teams to score 55% (Good)
Total 1.5 79% (Strong)
Total 2.5 55% (Good)
Total 3.5 51% (Average)
Total 4.5 67% (Strong)
Score 15% (Good)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 46% (Average)
160 predictions
Both teams to score 26% (Weak)
74 predictions
Total 1.5 12% (Weak)
34 predictions
Total 2.5 33% (Weak)
69 predictions
Total 3.5 57% (Good)
129 predictions
Total 4.5 73% (Strong)
169 predictions

Match overview