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Iceland · 1. Deild

03 Jul 2026 19:15 UTC

NJARDVIK vs THROTTUR REYKJAVIK

Final 1:0

Njardvik won Last goal: Njardvik

Match timeline

1st half

  1. 🟥 Baldur Hannes Stefansson (straight red) — Throttur Reykjavik

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Oumar Diouck — Njardvik

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

As expected
39%
1X2
Throttur Reykjavik
90-minute result: Njardvik
As expected
57%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: No
Big miss
85%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Under
Off target
65%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Under
No surprise
35%
Total 3.5
Over

Chance of 4 or more goals

Result: Under
No surprise
5%
Total 4.5
Over

Chance of 5 or more goals

Result: Under
As expected
10%
Score
2:4

Chance of this exact score

Result: 1:0

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 37% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (-2; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 27 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 20% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 176 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 202 completed matches.

1X2 46% (Average)
Both teams to score 49% (Average)
Total 1.5 75% (Strong)
Total 2.5 56% (Good)
Total 3.5 52% (Average)
Total 4.5 63% (Good)
Score 9% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 67 past matches

1X2 33% (Weak)
Both teams to score 52% (Average)
Total 1.5 82% (Strong)
Total 2.5 60% (Good)
Total 3.5 51% (Average)
Total 4.5 69% (Strong)
Score 10% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 46% (Average)
157 predictions
Both teams to score 62% (Good)
128 predictions
Total 1.5 88% (Strong)
168 predictions
Total 2.5 68% (Strong)
135 predictions
Total 3.5 44% (Weak)
77 predictions
Total 4.5 21% (Weak)
38 predictions

Match overview