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Iceland · 1. Deild

03 Jul 2026 19:15 UTC

AEGIR vs FYLKIR

Final 2:4

Fylkir won Last goal: Aegir

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Mani Austmann Hilmarsson — Fylkir
  2. ⚽ Tumi Fannar Gunnarsson — Fylkir
  3. ⚽ Gudmundur Tyrfingsson — Fylkir
  4. ⚽ Arnor Breki Asthorsson — Fylkir
  5. ⚽ Jordan Adeyemo — Aegir

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Jordan Adeyemo — Aegir

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

On point
51%
1X2
Fylkir
90-minute result: Fylkir
Nice call
57%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: Yes
On point
85%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
Solid call
65%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Over
As expected
58%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Off target
75%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Over
As expected
11%
Score
1:2

Chance of this exact score

Result: 2:4

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 58% (Good)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (-1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 40 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 20% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 176 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 202 completed matches.

1X2 46% (Average)
Both teams to score 49% (Average)
Total 1.5 75% (Strong)
Total 2.5 56% (Good)
Total 3.5 52% (Average)
Total 4.5 63% (Good)
Score 9% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 44 past matches

1X2 43% (Weak)
Both teams to score 39% (Weak)
Total 1.5 73% (Strong)
Total 2.5 52% (Average)
Total 3.5 57% (Good)
Total 4.5 61% (Good)
Score 11% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 46% (Average)
157 predictions
Both teams to score 62% (Good)
128 predictions
Total 1.5 88% (Strong)
168 predictions
Total 2.5 68% (Strong)
135 predictions
Total 3.5 58% (Good)
125 predictions
Total 4.5 73% (Strong)
164 predictions

Match overview