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Iceland · 1. Deild

29 Jun 2026 19:15 UTC

AFTURELDING vs AEGIR

Final 8:1

Afturelding won Last goal: Afturelding

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Joacim Holtan — Afturelding
  2. ⚽ Saevar Atli Hugason — Afturelding
  3. ⚽ Bjarki Joninuson — Aegir

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Joacim Holtan — Afturelding
  2. ⚽ Joacim Holtan — Afturelding
  3. ⚽ Odinn Bjarkason — Afturelding
  4. 🟥 Stefan Dabetic (straight red) — Aegir
  5. ⚽ Robert Dadason — Afturelding
  6. ⚽ Odinn Bjarkason — Afturelding
  7. ⚽ Aron Eli Saevarsson — Afturelding

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

As expected
37%
1X2
Draw
90-minute result: Afturelding
Nice call
57%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: Yes
On point
85%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
No surprise
37%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Over
As expected
58%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Off target
75%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Over
As expected
10%
Score
1:1

Chance of this exact score

Result: 8:1

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 20% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (0; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 44 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 20% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 175 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 201 completed matches.

1X2 20% (Weak)
Both teams to score 48% (Average)
Total 1.5 75% (Strong)
Total 2.5 57% (Good)
Total 3.5 53% (Average)
Total 4.5 64% (Good)
Score 9% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 21 past matches

1X2 43% (Weak)
Both teams to score 38% (Weak)
Total 1.5 67% (Strong)
Total 2.5 62% (Good)
Total 3.5 57% (Good)
Total 4.5 52% (Average)
Score 10% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 20% (Weak)
44 predictions
Both teams to score 61% (Good)
127 predictions
Total 1.5 88% (Strong)
167 predictions
Total 2.5 33% (Weak)
66 predictions
Total 3.5 58% (Good)
124 predictions
Total 4.5 74% (Strong)
163 predictions

Match overview