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Iceland · 1. Deild

03 Jul 2026 19:15 UTC

IR REYKJAVIK vs AFTURELDING

Final 0:1

Afturelding won Last goal: Afturelding

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Aron Eli Saevarsson (penalty) — Afturelding

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

As expected
37%
1X2
Draw
90-minute result: Afturelding
As expected
57%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: No
Big miss
85%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Under
Off target
65%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Under
No surprise
43%
Total 3.5
Over

Chance of 4 or more goals

Result: Under
Solid call
75%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
9%
Score
2:2

Chance of this exact score

Result: 0:1

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 20% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (0; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 45 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 20% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 176 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 202 completed matches.

1X2 20% (Weak)
Both teams to score 49% (Average)
Total 1.5 75% (Strong)
Total 2.5 56% (Good)
Total 3.5 52% (Average)
Total 4.5 63% (Good)
Score 9% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 43 past matches

1X2 35% (Weak)
Both teams to score 49% (Average)
Total 1.5 72% (Strong)
Total 2.5 47% (Average)
Total 3.5 56% (Good)
Total 4.5 63% (Good)
Score 9% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 20% (Weak)
45 predictions
Both teams to score 62% (Good)
128 predictions
Total 1.5 88% (Strong)
168 predictions
Total 2.5 68% (Strong)
135 predictions
Total 3.5 44% (Weak)
77 predictions
Total 4.5 73% (Strong)
164 predictions

Match overview