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USA · USL League One

20 Jun 2026 23:00 UTC

GREENVILLE TRIUMPH SC vs AV ALTA

Final 1:2

AV Alta won Last goal: AV Alta

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Brandon Fricke — Greenville Triumph SC

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Cristian Ortiz — AV Alta
  2. ⚽ Cesar Bahena — AV Alta

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Off target
45%
1X2
Greenville Triumph SC
90-minute result: AV Alta
As expected
47%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: Yes
Lucky hit
18%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
Lucky hit
18%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Over
On point
82%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
86%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
8%
Score
3:0

Chance of this exact score

Result: 1:2

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 50% (Average)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+3; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 14 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 26% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 243 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 208 completed matches.

1X2 44% (Weak)
Both teams to score 49% (Average)
Total 1.5 63% (Good)
Total 2.5 50% (Average)
Total 3.5 58% (Good)
Total 4.5 78% (Strong)
Score 7% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 50 past matches

1X2 32% (Weak)
Both teams to score 64% (Good)
Total 1.5 78% (Strong)
Total 2.5 54% (Average)
Total 3.5 64% (Good)
Total 4.5 76% (Strong)
Score 8% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 44% (Weak)
147 predictions
Both teams to score 39% (Weak)
77 predictions
Total 1.5 21% (Weak)
43 predictions
Total 2.5 43% (Weak)
96 predictions
Total 3.5 66% (Strong)
152 predictions
Total 4.5 86% (Strong)
187 predictions

Match overview