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USA · USL League One

18 Jun 2026 01:30 UTC

FORWARD MADISON FC vs FORT WAYNE

Final 1:1 Almanac Moment

Draw Last goal: Fort Wayne

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Josh Bolma — Forward Madison FC

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Ryan Becher — Fort Wayne

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Nice call
37%
1X2
Draw
90-minute result: Draw
Nice call
54%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: Yes
Solid call
74%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
Lucky hit
45%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Solid call
65%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
86%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Nice call
5%
Score
1:1

Chance of this exact score

Result: 1:1

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 26% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (0; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 90 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 25% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 241 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 207 completed matches.

1X2 20% (Weak)
Both teams to score 48% (Average)
Total 1.5 63% (Good)
Total 2.5 49% (Average)
Total 3.5 58% (Good)
Total 4.5 78% (Strong)
Score 7% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 33 past matches

1X2 42% (Weak)
Both teams to score 24% (Weak)
Total 1.5 39% (Weak)
Total 2.5 36% (Weak)
Total 3.5 45% (Average)
Total 4.5 88% (Strong)
Score 0% (Risky)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 20% (Weak)
60 predictions
Both teams to score 54% (Average)
130 predictions
Total 1.5 74% (Strong)
164 predictions
Total 2.5 42% (Weak)
95 predictions
Total 3.5 66% (Strong)
151 predictions
Total 4.5 85% (Strong)
186 predictions

Match overview