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USA · USL League One

20 Jun 2026 23:00 UTC

CHATTANOOGA RED WOLVES SC vs FC NAPLES

Final 1:0

Chattanooga Red Wolves SC won Last goal: Chattanooga Red Wolves SC

Match timeline

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Omar Hernandez Chavarria (penalty) — Chattanooga Red Wolves SC

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Solid call
45%
1X2
Chattanooga Red Wolves SC
90-minute result: Chattanooga Red Wolves SC
As expected
54%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: No
Off target
74%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Under
As expected
55%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Under
As expected
55%
Total 3.5
Over

Chance of 4 or more goals

Result: Under
As expected
55%
Total 4.5
Over

Chance of 5 or more goals

Result: Under
As expected
7%
Score
6:2

Chance of this exact score

Result: 1:0

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Draw likelihood 26% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 243 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 208 completed matches.

1X2 44% (Weak)
Both teams to score 49% (Average)
Total 1.5 63% (Good)
Total 2.5 50% (Average)
Total 3.5 58% (Good)
Total 4.5 78% (Strong)
Score 7% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 55 past matches

1X2 33% (Weak)
Both teams to score 53% (Average)
Total 1.5 69% (Strong)
Total 2.5 55% (Average)
Total 3.5 64% (Good)
Total 4.5 85% (Strong)
Score 7% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 44% (Weak)
147 predictions
Both teams to score 54% (Average)
131 predictions
Total 1.5 75% (Strong)
165 predictions
Total 2.5 55% (Good)
112 predictions
Total 3.5 66% (Strong)
152 predictions
Total 4.5 86% (Strong)
187 predictions

Match overview