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USA · USL League One

19 Jun 2026 23:00 UTC

WESTCHESTER SC vs PORTLAND HEARTS OF PINE

Final 5:1

Westchester SC won Last goal: Portland Hearts of Pine

Match timeline

1st half

  1. Conor McGlynn — Westchester SC
  2. Conor McGlynn (penalty) — Westchester SC

2nd half

  1. Jonathan Jiménez — Westchester SC
  2. Miguel Diaz — Westchester SC
  3. Jonathan Jiménez — Westchester SC
  4. Abobubacar Camara — Portland Hearts of Pine

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

As expected
54%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: Yes
Solid call
74%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
Nice call
51%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Over
Off target
65%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Big miss
81%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Over
As expected
8%
Score
3:0

Chance of this exact score

Result: 5:1

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 46% (Average)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+3; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 13 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 26% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 242 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 207 completed matches.

1X2 44% (Weak)
Both teams to score 48% (Average)
Total 1.5 63% (Good)
Total 2.5 49% (Average)
Total 3.5 58% (Good)
Total 4.5 78% (Strong)
Score 7% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 52 past matches

1X2 27% (Weak)
Both teams to score 52% (Average)
Total 1.5 60% (Good)
Total 2.5 50% (Average)
Total 3.5 50% (Average)
Total 4.5 69% (Strong)
Score 8% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 44% (Weak)
147 predictions
Both teams to score 54% (Average)
130 predictions
Total 1.5 74% (Strong)
164 predictions
Total 2.5 55% (Good)
112 predictions
Total 3.5 66% (Strong)
151 predictions
Total 4.5 85% (Strong)
186 predictions

Match overview