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Spain · Segunda División · LaLiga2 Playoff

14 Jun 2026 19:00 UTC

MALAGA vs ALMERIA

Lineups confirmed

Model prediction

Strong
51%
1X2
Malaga
Weak
48%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Good
74%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Weak
51%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Good
71%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Strong
86%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Weak
12%
Score
2:0

Chance of this exact score

Model Context

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 64% (Good)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+2; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 69 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 25% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 470 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 456 completed matches.

1X2 41% (Weak)
Both teams to score 52% (Average)
Total 1.5 61% (Good)
Total 2.5 54% (Average)
Total 3.5 64% (Good)
Total 4.5 79% (Strong)
Score 9% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 84 past matches

1X2 39% (Weak)
Both teams to score 51% (Average)
Total 1.5 65% (Strong)
Total 2.5 55% (Average)
Total 3.5 58% (Good)
Total 4.5 71% (Strong)
Score 12% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 41% (Weak)
336 predictions
Both teams to score 46% (Average)
199 predictions
Total 1.5 72% (Strong)
330 predictions
Total 2.5 55% (Average)
251 predictions
Total 3.5 74% (Strong)
355 predictions
Total 4.5 86% (Strong)
417 predictions

Match preview