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31 May 2026 19:00 UTC

LEGANES vs CD MIRANDES

Final 1:0

Leganes won Last goal: Leganes

Match timeline

2nd half

⚽ Álex Millán — Leganes

Model predictions were

39%

1X2

Leganes

Result: Leganes

57%

Both teams to score

Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: No

74%

Total 1.5

Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Under

51%

Total 2.5

Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Under

71%

Total 3.5

Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under

86%

Total 4.5

Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under

Score

2:1

Chance of this exact score

Result: 1:0

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 42% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 111 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 25% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 458 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 444 completed matches.

1X2 40% (Weak)

Both teams to score 52% (Average)

Total 1.5 61% (Good)

Total 2.5 55% (Average)

Total 3.5 64% (Good)

Total 4.5 79% (Strong)

Score 9% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 79 past matches

1X2 32% (Weak)

Both teams to score 52% (Average)

Total 1.5 56% (Good)

Total 2.5 48% (Average)

Total 3.5 65% (Good)

Total 4.5 81% (Strong)

Score 6% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 40% (Weak)

326 predictions

Both teams to score 56% (Good)

252 predictions

Total 1.5 73% (Strong)

321 predictions

Total 2.5 55% (Average)

200 predictions

Total 3.5 74% (Strong)

345 predictions

Total 4.5 86% (Strong)

405 predictions

Match overview

Post-match review for Leganes vs CD Mirandes. The match ended 1-0 in Spain · Segunda División · LaLiga2. Pre-match projections pointed to Leganes with a marginal edge at 39.3%.

The outcome aligned with the model’s expectation. League trends indicate that high-scoring matches are common, with over 4.5 goals appearing in 79.1% of matches across a sample of 444 games. Team-level data also supports an attacking profile, with both teams to score around 51.9% in a sample of 79 team involvements.

Most market calls were not confirmed by the final result in this fixture. Key market checks included over 1.5 goals (74.4%) came in as a strong signal and was not confirmed. Over 2.5 goals (51.4%) fell short of the result, both teams to score (56.7%) did not match the outcome.

Even when the main prediction misses, underlying data can still highlight key match patterns. Signals remained consistent in parts of the market profile, which keeps the model useful for future match evaluation.

LEGANES vs CD MIRANDES

Match timeline

2nd half

Model predictions were

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

League

Teams

Markets

Match overview

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