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Spain · Segunda División · LaLiga2 Playoff

06 Jun 2026 19:00 UTC

CASTELLON vs ALMERIA

Final 1:1

Draw Last goal: Almeria

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Fabrizio Brignani — Castellon

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Sergio Arribas — Almeria

Model predictions were

As expected
37%
1X2
Almeria
Result: Draw
As expected
48%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: Yes
No surprise
30%
Total 1.5
Under

Chance of 1 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Nice call
51%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Solid call
71%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
86%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Off target
14%
Score
0:1

Chance of this exact score

Result: 1:1

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 26% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (-1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 85 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 25% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 466 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 452 completed matches.

1X2 41% (Weak)
Both teams to score 52% (Average)
Total 1.5 62% (Good)
Total 2.5 54% (Average)
Total 3.5 64% (Good)
Total 4.5 79% (Strong)
Score 9% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 80 past matches

1X2 39% (Weak)
Both teams to score 54% (Average)
Total 1.5 68% (Strong)
Total 2.5 61% (Good)
Total 3.5 59% (Good)
Total 4.5 70% (Strong)
Score 14% (Good)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 41% (Weak)
332 predictions
Both teams to score 46% (Average)
197 predictions
Total 1.5 33% (Weak)
125 predictions
Total 2.5 54% (Average)
249 predictions
Total 3.5 74% (Strong)
351 predictions
Total 4.5 86% (Strong)
413 predictions

Match overview

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