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Spain · Primera Division RFEF · Primera Federacion Promotion Playoff

05 Jun 2026 19:00 UTC

SABADELL vs REAL MADRID CASTILLA

Model prediction

Good
40%
1X2
Real Madrid Castilla
Weak
47%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Good
70%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Risky
37%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Risky
31%
Total 3.5
Over

Chance of 4 or more goals

Risky
28%
Total 4.5
Over

Chance of 5 or more goals

Weak
5%
Score
2:3

Chance of this exact score

Model Context

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 24% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (-1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 135 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 30% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 773 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 749 completed matches.

1X2 35% (Weak)
Both teams to score 46% (Average)
Total 1.5 56% (Good)
Total 2.5 49% (Average)
Total 3.5 71% (Strong)
Total 4.5 85% (Strong)
Score 9% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 76 past matches

1X2 25% (Weak)
Both teams to score 45% (Weak)
Total 1.5 43% (Weak)
Total 2.5 42% (Weak)
Total 3.5 64% (Good)
Total 4.5 74% (Strong)
Score 3% (Risky)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 35% (Weak)
522 predictions
Both teams to score 42% (Weak)
385 predictions
Total 1.5 66% (Strong)
514 predictions
Total 2.5 38% (Weak)
296 predictions
Total 3.5 27% (Weak)
128 predictions
Total 4.5 13% (Weak)
52 predictions

Match preview

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